Emerging Markets Secure Bond
Performance Update: 1 October 2011 to 31
December 2011
Performance Commentary
The fourth quarter of 2011 was a positive period for the
underlying investment strategy as markets were volatile but ended
in positive territory. The MSCI World index (in dollar terms)
of shares, the primary benchmark for investment portfolios, rose
7.11% but finished the year down -7.62%. Performance in world stock
markets was mixed with the Japanese NIKKEI 225 losing -2.82%.
Volatility (as measured by the VIX index) started the quarter at a
very high level of 42.96% and remained high until December. In
December it decreased significantly and finished at 23.40%. Of the
four underlying stock markets, China (up 11.43%) and Brazil (up
8.47%) had the biggest increases. India's stock market lost -6.45%
over the quarter. Growth concerns in the emerging economies,
particularly China continued in the quarter. Chinese CPI inflation
has moderated from its peak of 6.5% year on year in July to 5.5% in
October thanks to the tightening of monetary policy. Food prices
remain the main driver of CPI inflation, contributing the most of
the rise in the CPI. However inflation concerns are mitigated by
slowing growth in the global economy. Renewed weakness in the
European economies has probably accelerated China's move to slower
growth but GDP growth remains strong at around 9%.
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For further information please contact Paddy Swan (pswan@invesco.ie) or James
Finucane (jfinucane@invesco.ie).